The annual inflation rate in the US eased to 2.8% in February 2025 from 3% in January, below forecasts of 2.9%. Energy costs declined 0.2% year-on-year, following a 1% rise in January which was the first increase in six months. Gasoline (-3.1% vs -0.2%) and fuel oil (-5.1% vs -5.3%) were lower while natural gas prices soared (6% vs 4.9%). Inflation also slowed for shelter (4.2% vs 4.4%), used cars and trucks (0.8% vs 1%), transportation (6% vs 8%) while prices continued to fall for new vehicles (-0.3% vs -0.3%). On the other hand, inflation accelerated for food (2.6% vs 2.5%). On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.2%, down from January’s 0.5% increase which was the highest monthly inflation rate since August 2023, and compared to forecasts of 0.3%. Meanwhile, annual core inflation slowed to 3.1%, the lowest since April 2021, from 3.3% and below expectations of 3.2%. The monthly core inflation also fell more than expected to 0.2% from 0.4%, compared to forecasts of 0.3%. source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Inflation Rate in the United States decreased to 2.80 percent in February from 3 percent in January of 2025. Inflation Rate in the United States averaged 3.30 percent from 1914 until 2025, reaching an all time high of 23.70 percent in June of 1920 and a record low of -15.80 percent in June of 1921. This page provides - United States Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. United States Inflation Rate - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on April of 2025.

Inflation Rate in the United States decreased to 2.80 percent in February from 3 percent in January of 2025. Inflation Rate in the United States is expected to be 2.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the United States Inflation Rate is projected to trend around 2.40 percent in 2026 and 2.30 percent in 2027, according to our econometric models.

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U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics


Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2025-02-12 01:30 PM
Inflation Rate YoY
Jan 3% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
2025-03-12 12:30 PM
Inflation Rate YoY
Feb 2.8% 3% 2.9% 2.9%
2025-04-10 12:30 PM
Inflation Rate YoY
Mar 2.8% 2.6% 2.5%

Components Last Previous Unit Reference
Core Inflation Rate YoY 3.10 3.30 percent Feb 2025
Energy Inflation -0.20 1.00 Percent Feb 2025
Food Inflation 2.60 2.50 percent Feb 2025
Rent Inflation 4.20 4.40 percent Feb 2025
Services Inflation 4.10 4.20 Percent Feb 2025

Related Last Previous Unit Reference
CPI 319.08 317.67 points Feb 2025
Core Consumer Prices 325.48 324.74 points Feb 2025
CPI Median 3.50 3.60 percent Feb 2025
CPI s.a 319.78 319.09 points Feb 2025
CPI Trimmed-Mean 3.10 3.10 percent Feb 2025
Export Prices 151.70 151.50 points Feb 2025
Import Prices 142.50 141.90 points Feb 2025
Consumer Inflation Expectations 3.10 3.00 percent Feb 2025
Inflation Rate YoY 2.80 3.00 percent Feb 2025
Inflation Rate MoM 0.20 0.50 percent Feb 2025
PCE Price Index 125.60 125.19 points Feb 2025
PPI YoY 3.20 3.70 percent Feb 2025

United States Inflation Rate
In the United States, unadjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers is based on the prices of a market basket of: Food (14% of total weight); Energy (8%); Commodities Less Food & Energy Commodities (21%) and Services Less Energy Services (57%). The last category is divided by: Shelter (32%), Medical Care Services (7%) and Transportation Services (6%).
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
2.80 3.00 23.70 -15.80 1914 - 2025 percent Monthly
NSA


News Stream
US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US eased to 2.8% in February 2025 from 3% in January, below forecasts of 2.9%. Energy costs declined 0.2% year-on-year, following a 1% rise in January which was the first increase in six months. Gasoline (-3.1% vs -0.2%) and fuel oil (-5.1% vs -5.3%) were lower while... natural gas prices soared (6% vs 4.9%). Inflation also slowed for shelter (4.2% vs 4.4%), used cars and trucks (0.8% vs 1%), transportation (6% vs 8%) while prices continued to fall for new vehicles (-0.3% vs -0.3%). On the other hand, inflation accelerated for food (2.6% vs 2.5%). On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.2%, down from January’s 0.5% increase which was the highest monthly inflation rate since August 2023, and compared to forecasts of 0.3%. Meanwhile, annual core inflation slowed to 3.1%, the lowest since April 2021, from 3.3% and below expectations of 3.2%. The monthly core inflation also fell more than expected to 0.2% from 0.4%, compared to forecasts of 0.3%. more
2025-03-12
US Inflation Rate Seen Edging Down to 2.9%
The annual inflation rate in the US likely eased to 2.9% in February 2025 from 3% in January, though it remains elevated, signaling stalled progress on disinflation. On a monthly basis, the CPI is expected to have risen by 0.3%, down from January’s 0.5% increase which was the highest monthly inflati...on rate since August 2023. Food prices are projected to continue rising, with egg prices remaining high and gasoline likely edging up. In contrast, airfares and medical costs are expected to decline. Meanwhile, annual core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is anticipated to slow to 3.2% from 3.3%, while monthly core inflation is forecast to dip to 0.3% from 0.4%. Traders will also closely monitor any early signs that tariffs are beginning to impact inflation. more
2025-03-12
US Inflation Rate Unexpectedly Rises to 3%
The annual inflation rate in the US edged up to 3% in January 2025, compared to 2.9% in December 2024, and above market forecasts of 2.9%, indicating stalled progress in curbing inflation. Energy costs rose 1% year-on-year, the first increase in six months, after a 0.5% fall in December, mainly due ...to gasoline (-0.2% vs -3.4%), fuel oil (-5.3% vs -13.1%) and natural gas (4.9% vs 4.9%). Also, prices for used cars and trucks rebounded (1% vs -3.3%), cost accelerated for transportation (8% vs 7.3%) and fell less for new vehicles (-0.3% vs -0.4%). On the other hand, inflation steadied for food (2.5% vs 2.5%) and slowed for shelter (4.4% vs 4.6%). On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.5%, above 0.4% in the previous month and expectations it would slow to 0.3%. The index for shelter rose 0.4%, accounting for nearly 30% of the increase. Meanwhile, annual core inflation unexpectedly rose to 3.3%, compared to forecasts it would slow to 3.1%. The monthly rate edged up more than expected to 0.4%. more
2025-02-12